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冷战博弈能否终结:美俄关系的发展与变数(7)

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1.1947年,乔治·凯南曾经在《外交季刊》撰文《苏联行为的根源》,提出“美国对苏联的任何政策的主要方面必须是长期的,耐心、坚定和警惕地对俄罗斯的扩张倾向进行遏制”。参见[美]乔治·凯南:《美国大外交(60周年增订版)》,雷建锋译,北京:社会科学文献出版社,2013年,第165页。

2.Dmitri Trenin, "Welcome to Cold War II", Foreign Policy, March 4, 2014. https://foreignpolicy.com/2014/03/04/welcome-to-cold-war-ii/.

3.Dmitri Trenin, "The Crisis in Crimea Could Lead the World into a Second Cold War", The Guardian, March 2, 2014. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/02/crimea-crisis-russia-ukraine-cold-war.

4.Simon Tisdall, "The New Cold War: Are We Going back to the Bad Old Days?", The Guardian, November 19, 2014. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/nov/19/new-cold-war-back-to-bad-old-days-russia-west-putin-ukraine.

5.Patrick Wintour, Luke Harding, Julian Borger, "Cold War 2.0: How Russia and the West Reheated a Historic Struggle", The Guardian, October 24, 2016. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/24/cold-war-20-how-russia-and-the-west-reheated-a-historic-struggle.

6.Evan Osnos, David Remnick, and Joshua Yaffa, "Trump, Putin, and the New Cold War", The New Yorker, March 6, 2017.

7.Bohdan Harasymiw, "Russia, the United States, and the New Cold War", Journal of Military and Strategic Studies, Volume 12, Issue 2, Winter 2010, pp.1-31.

8.Evan Horowitz, "How a Trump-Putin Alliance Would Change the World", The Boston Globe, December 5, 2016. http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/world/2016/12/05/how-trump-putin-alliance-would-change-world/WRBbyzjIfHCs4xYOyKv7wL/story.html. Steven Swinford, Ben Riley-Smith, "Trump Putin Alliance Sparks Diplomatic Crisis", The Telegraph, November, 2016.http://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/trump-putin-alliance-sparks-diplomatic-crisis/ar-AAke2x8.

9.[美]艾什顿·卡特、威廉姆·佩里:《预防性防御:一项美国新安全战略》,胡利平、杨韵琴译,上海人民出版社,2000年,第50页。

10.李静杰、郑羽主编:《俄罗斯与当代世界》,北京:世界知识出版社,1998年,第87~88页。

11."Presidents Bush and Yeltsin: 'Dawn of a New Era'", The New York Times, February 2, 1992.

12."The Treaty between the United States of America and the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics on the Reduction and Limitation of Strategic Offensive Arms (START)", July 31, 1991. https://www.state.gov/t/avc/trty/146007.htm.

13."Treaty between the United States of America and the Russian Federation on Further Reduction and Limitation of Strategic Offensive Arms (START II)", January 3, 1993. https://www.state.gov/t/avc/trty/102887.htm.

14.详见樊吉社:《从合作到对抗:美俄军控十年的历史考察及思考(1991~2000)》,《欧洲研究》,2003年第5期,第28~42页。

15.王缉思、徐辉、倪峰主编:《冷战后的美国外交(1989~2000)》,北京:时事出版社,2007年,第97~99页。

16.Thomas W. Lippman, "Clinton, Yeltsin Agree on Arms Cuts and NATO", The Washington Post, March 22, 1997, Page A01.

17.周一民:《布什政府上台以来的美俄关系》,《俄罗斯研究》,2002年第1期,第45~46页。

18.George W. Bush: "The President's News Conference With President Vladimir Putin of Russia," November 13, 2001.Online by Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley, The American Presidency Project. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=64429.

19.David E. Sanger, "The Bush-Putin Summit: The Ranch", The New York Times, November 16, 2001. http://www.nytimes.com/2001/11/16/world/bush-putin-summit-ranch-before-after-bush-putin-s-banter-no-agreement-missile.html.

20.樊吉社:《核裁军的“趣味数学”》,《人民日报》,2009年7月14日,第13版。

21.Luke Harding, "Russia Threatening New Cold War over Missile Defence", The Guardian, April 11, 2007. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/apr/11/usa.topstories3.

22.袁鹏:《美俄关系的变与不变——兼议美俄“新冷战”说》,《外交评论》,2006年第5期,第31页。

23.George W. Bush: "The President's News Conference With President Vladimir Putin of Russia", November 13, 2001.Online by Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley, The American Presidency Project. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=64429.

24.罗茜:《北约东扩进程回顾:何处是“边界”?》,新华网,2008年5月8日。http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2008-05/08/content_8126672.htm.

25.Peter Baker, "White House Scraps Bush's Approach to Missile Shield", The New York Times, September 17, 2009. http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/18/world/europe/18shield.html.

26.Macon Phillips, "The New START Treaty and Protocol", The White House, April 8, 2010. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/blog/2010/04/08/new-start-treaty-and-protocol.

27.Office of the Vice President, "Remarks by the Vice President at the Munich Security Conference", The White House, February 7, 2015. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2015/02/07/remarks-vice-president-munich-security-conference.

28.Department of Defense, "Operation Atlantic Resolve". https://www.defense.gov/News/Special-Reports/0514_Atlantic-Resolve.

29.相关评论详见:Dmitri Trenin, "Welcome to Cold War II", Foreign Policy, March 4, 2014. https://foreignpolicy.com/2014/03/04/welcome-to-cold-war-ii/. Dmitri Trenin, "The Crisis in Crimea Could Lead the World into a Second Cold War", The Guardian, March 2, 2014. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/02/crimea-crisis-russia-ukraine-cold-war.  Simon Tisdall, "The New Cold War: Are We Going back to the Bad Old Days?", The Guardian, November 19, 2014. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/nov/19/new-cold-war-back-to-bad-old-days-russia-west-putin-ukraine. Patrick Wintour, Luke Harding, Julian Borger, "Cold War 2.0: How Russia and the West Reheated a Historic Struggle", The Guardian, October 24, 2016. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/24/cold-war-20-how-russia-and-the-west-reheated-a-historic-struggle.

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