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特朗普时期的大国关系:美俄、美印与中美(6)

[27]中华人民共和国外交部:《习近平会见美国总统特朗普》,中华人民共和国外交部网站,2017年7月9日,http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/web/zyxw/t1476455.shtml.

[28]Wayne M. Morrison, "China-U.S. Trade Issues," Congressional Research Service Report, August 26, 2017, pp.54-55.

[29]这五次自由航行行动的时间分别是:2017年10月10日,美国查菲号导弹驱逐舰驶入我西沙群岛16海里领海(挑战中国在西沙群岛的领海基线);8月10日,美国麦凯恩号导弹驱逐舰驶入我南沙群岛美济礁12海里领海;7月6日,两架美国空军远程轰炸机飞越东海及南海;7月2日,美国斯坦塞姆号导弹驱逐舰驶入西沙群岛中建岛12海里领海;5月24日,美国杜威号导弹驱逐舰驶入我南沙群岛美济礁12海里领海。

The Relationship Between Great Powers in the Trump Era: US-Russia, US-India, and China-US

Wei Zongyou

Abstract: Based on the "put America first" diplomatic concept, Trump tried to significantly change the Sino-US, Sino-Russian and even the Sino-Indian relations to leverage the existing geo-political situation and cause chaos so as to serve the national interests of the US. However, the US domestic political infighting, international politics and the relations between great powers have basically thwarted Trump's attempt. The US-Russian relationship not only failed to resume and ease, but fell into a new round of confrontation. In contrast, the Sino-US relations have withstood the test of the Trump impact. In particular, the Chinese government has been calmly dealing with the situation so that the Sino-US relations are gradually developing in a healthy and stable manner. The US-Indian relations have been less affected, and due to the importance of India in Trump’s new policies on Afghanistan and South Asia, the relationship between the two countries continue to move forward as they can both benefit from it. Looking into the future, the "cold" US-Russian relations will not change fundamentally, the healthy and steady Sino-US relations will basically continue, and the US and India will further strengthen their political, economic and security relations.

Keywords: Trump, great powers relationship, China-US relations, US-Russian relations, US-Indian relations

韦宗友,复旦大学美国研究中心教授。研究方向为美国外交与安全、美国海洋政策、中美关系。主要著作有《霸权阴影下的对外战略》《约翰逊时期的美国对华政策》等。

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